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Before you go any further, this won’t be a cheerleader answer for Joe Biden We Just Did 46 American Flag tshirt. If that’s what you want, go read some other answer. If you want to know why the polls are somewhat close here, read on. I’ve broken this down into sections. Feel free to skip over sections if you want. Democrats usually win Wisconsin when they offer voters good policy. Hillary was weak on policy in 2016; Biden is weak on policy, or at least on policy that would help Wisconsinites.
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As a Wisconsin resident, I’ll tell you how this state is won, and I’ll point out some of Joe Biden We Just Did 46 American Flag tshirt along the way. This will be a bit of an oversimplification, but it hits the main points. For a Democrat to win in Wisconsin, he or she must perform well in three geographical zones: Dane County, which includes the city of Madison, Milwaukee County, which obviously includes the city of Milwaukee, and rural Southwestern Wisconsin. The map below shows the 3 zones. I’ll discuss each in turn. There are Black voters across the state, but the largest population of Blacks, by far, is in Milwaukee County. In 2016, the Black vote in this state dropped by a little over 12% from 2012. Most of that drop was in Milwaukee County. Studies have been done, and the drop was due to a lack of policy on Hillary’s part. (Sorry Hillary fans, but it’s true.) She didn’t even campaign here in the 2016 general election. Biden doesn’t have policy that sets Milwaukee County afire. His policies don’t even amount to a smoldering autumn leaf pile.
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Rural Southwestern Wisconsin is one those weird rural areas that still votes for Joe Biden We Just Did 46 American Flag tshirt. In 2016, the voters there didn’t switch from voting Democrat to voting Republican. The Democrats stayed home because Hillary had no policy for them. The people there just generally don’t give a rat’s behind that Trump’s in office. Much of zone 3 is economically depressed. In general, the more you have to lose, the more you care about getting Trump out of office. Losing could be in financial terms, social terms, or some other terms.