I completely agree with your point re exponential growth rates. I spent many years building financial models and Snoopy people said follow your dreams so I went back to sleep shirt have an appreciation of the impact of exponentials which is why I’ve been so worried about this. As you know a common response that we have heard from Trump among others is well the flu kills 50 k Americans per year and so far this has just killed a couple of dozen so get over it. The key thing people don’t get is this is a NEW VIRUS so no one has immunity. Traditional flu will kill 20k to 100k in the US because the population as a whole has seen it before and has built up a level of immunity. What happens when a population is exposed to a new disease to which they have no immunity? Well the native Americans who became exposed to European diseases such smallpox for the first time after Colombus arrived found that out pretty quickly. It killed off a huge proportion of the population. Thankfully this is not as deadly as those diseases but it is the reason that serious epidemiologists are saying maybe 40 to 70 per cent of the global population may ultimately get this.
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Just wanted to give an update as an American studying in Snoopy people said follow your dreams so I went back to sleep shirt . As I’ve said before, most students have gone home. Class numbers have dwindled from 30 to 0-5 students. Classes have gone to online lectures, as have midterms. Today, the first day of the nationwide shutdown, the streets are deserted, save for one or two passerby’s bringing home groceries. There are police at every bus stop checking paperwork (I assume proof of work), all have gloves and masks. Grocery stores are limiting how many can enter at a time, but it’s all fully stocked. Toilet paper stacks barely touched, no hand sanitizer in sight (I haven’t seen any in a while, might check the pharmacy at some point). We have all been told to stay in our apartments. Most of the other students I know are alone in their apartments since roommates have gone home, and everyone is on edge. We’re all adhering to the rules, just stressed out by the atmosphere. Hope everything goes well. Cheers.